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PZ Binary Options MT5
This indicator analyzes price action patterns and helps you to make positive equity decisions in the binary options market.
- Easy to trade
- Trade both call and put options
- No crystal ball and no predictions
- The indicator is non-repainting
The only strategy suitable for binary options is applying a mathematical approach, like professional gamblers do. It is based on the following principles:
- Every binary option represents a 50/50 random event
- Predicting if the next bar will close up or down is impossible
- The only way to make money is paying the right price for all wagers
- The long-run mathematical expectation is all that matters
To use this indicator you need a true binary option provider. Most so-called binary options brokers do not offer binary options at all, but offer a gambling setup based on expirations in time. But a true binary option is like any other option, it has a strike price and a expiration stamp, and can be bought and sold until expiration. A true binary option provider shows the price of the option as market participants exchange it during the session.
A true binary option has a price between 0 and 100, and it fluctuates. If the option expires in the money, then the closing price of the option is 100. If it expires out of the money, the closing price is zero. The price fluctuates as people buys and sells it during the session until expiration. Your profit is the difference between the price at which you bought the option and the price at which it expires. For instance, if you buy an option for 50 and it closes in the money, at 100, you make 50. If you buy it at 50 and closes a zero, out of the money, you lose 50. If you buy it at 25 and closes at 75, you make 75.
How to Trade
The indicator analyzes price action patterns and displays crucial information on the top-right corner of the chart at bar closing.
- At what price you should buy a call option
- At what price you should buy a put option
- Can the trade still be placed?
The indicator does not predict the direction of the next bar. What it does is analyzing price action and calculating how much is reasonable to pay for both options. Given the opportunity, you should trade both directions, and both would be a positive equity decision in the long run. You should never trade «out of time».
This indicator will not provide you with trades often, but selective situations in which trading makes sense.
Oscillator and Chart Indications
The indicator displays past values on the chart and implements a relative strength oscillator that measures the overall tendency using two moving averages: if the main line is above the signal line, bars tend to close above the open price and vice versa. Additionally, strong breakouts or false breakouts are directional factors to have in count, and are portrayed on the chart by a trailing «+» to the candlestick data.
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The Truth About Binary Options
Binary Options have become very popular and attract a lot of novice traders, who find it easier to trade binary options than doing actual trading because position management is out of the equation. Most of them feel they have an edge because they can read technical charts, but ignore that short-time price movements are completely random and have nothing to do with technical analysis.
Binary Options have an expiration time, and therefore cap your profits in two dimensions: price and time. The odds of the future price being above the current price in a fixed period of time are always a 50% chance, and thus trading binary options is actually gambling on instruments with a very bad payoff structure.
The mathematical truth is that binary options are rigged against the trader. But if you still want to trade them, this indicator is your best chance.
- Fast MA: Fast MA Period for the oscillator
- Slow MA: Slow MA Period for the oscillator
- Max History Bars: Amount of bars to evaluate when just loaded
- Drawing: Drawing, color and sizes options
I am happy to provide free products but given my limited time, they come without support of any kind. My apologies.
Arturo López Pérez, private investor and speculator, software engineer and founder of Point Zero Trading Solutions.
Accurate MT4 / MT5 Binary Options Trade Indicators
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Binary Options Live Signals Indicators
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Trading Forex with Binary Options
Binary options are an alternative way to play the foreign currency (forex) market for traders. Although they are a relatively expensive way to trade forex compared with the leveraged spot forex trading offered by a growing number of brokers, the fact that the maximum potential loss is capped and known in advance is a major advantage of binary options.
Defining Binary Options
Binary options have two outcomes: They settle either at a pre-determined value (generally $100) or at $0. This settlement value depends on whether the price of the asset underlying the binary option is trading above or below the strike price by expiration.
Binary options can be used to speculate on the outcomes of various situations: Will the S&P 500 rise above a certain level by tomorrow or next week? Will this week’s jobless claims be higher than the market expects? Or will the euro or yen decline against the U.S. dollar today?
For example, say gold is trading at $1,195 per troy ounce currently and you are confident that it will be trading above $1,200 later that day. Assume you can buy a binary option on gold trading at or above $1,200 by that day’s close, and this option is trading at $57 (bid)/$60 (offer). You buy the option at $60. If gold closes at or above $1,200, as you had expected, your payout will be $100, which means that your gross gain (before commissions) is $40 or 66.7%. On the other hand, if gold closes below $1,200, you would lose your $60 investment, for a 100% loss.
Binary Option Buyers and Sellers
For the buyer of a binary option, the cost is the price at which the option is trading. For the seller of a binary option, the cost is the difference between 100 and the option price and 100.
From the buyer’s perspective, the price of a binary option can be regarded as the probability that the trade will be successful. Therefore, the higher the binary option price, the greater the perceived probability of the asset price rising above the strike. From the seller’s perspective, the probability is 100 minus the option price.
All binary option contracts are fully collateralized, which means that both sides of a specific contract – the buyer and seller – have to put up capital for their side of the trade. So if a contract is trading at 35, the buyer pays $35, and the seller pays $65 ($100 – $35). This is the maximum risk of the buyer and seller and equals $100 in all cases.
Thus the risk-reward profile for the buyer and seller in this instance can be stated as follows:
- Maximum risk = $35
- Maximum reward = $65 ($100 – $35)
- Maximum risk = $65
- Maximum reward = $35 ($100 – $65)
Binary options in forex are available from exchanges such as Nadex, which offers them on the most popular pairs such as USD-CAD, EUR-USD, and USD-JPY, as well as on a number of other widely-traded currency pairs. These options are offered with expirations ranging from intraday to daily and weekly. The tick size on spot forex binaries from Nadex is 1, and the tick value is $1.
The intraday forex binary options offered by Nadex expire hourly, while the daily ones expire at certain set times throughout the day. The weekly binary options expire at 3 P.M. on Friday.
For forex contracts, Nadex calculates the expiration value by taking the midpoint prices of the last 25 trades in the forex market, eliminates the highest five and lowest five prices, and then takes the arithmetic average of the remaining 15 prices.
Examples of Binary Options in Forex
Let’s use the EUR-USD currency pair to demonstrate how binary options can be used to trade forex. We use a weekly option that will expire at 3 P.M. on Friday, or four days from now (or Monday). Assume the current exchange rate is EUR 1 = USD 1.2440.
Consider the following scenarios:
1. You believe the euro is unlikely to weaken by Friday and should stay above 1.2425. The binary option EUR/USD>1.2425 is quoted at 49.00/55.00. You buy 10 contracts for a total of $550 (excluding commissions). At 3 P.M. on Friday, the euro is trading at USD 1.2450. Your binary option settles at 100, giving you a payout of $1,000. Your gross gain (before taking commissions into account) is $450, or approximately 82%. However, if the euro had closed below 1.2425, you would lose your entire $550 investment, for a 100% loss.
2. You are bearish on the euro and believe it could decline by Friday, say to USD 1.2375. The binary option EUR/USD>1.2375 is quoted at 60.00/66.00. Since you are bearish on the euro, you would sell this option. Your initial cost to sell each binary option contract is, therefore, $40 ($100 – $60). Assume you sell 10 contracts, and receive a total of $400. At 3 P.M. on Friday, let’s say the euro is trading at 1.2400.
Since the euro closed above the strike price of $1.2375 by expiration, you would lose the full $400 or 100% of your investment. What if the euro had closed below 1.2375, as you had expected? In that case, the contract would settle at $100, and you would receive a total of $1,000 for your 10 contracts, for a gain of $600 or 150%.
Additional Basic Strategies
You do not have to wait until contract expiration to realize a gain on your binary option contract. For instance, let’s say by Thursday the euro is trading in the spot market at 1.2455, but you are concerned about the possibility of a decline in the currency if U.S. economic data to be released on Friday are very positive. In this case, your binary option contract (EUR/USD>1.2425), which was quoted at 49.00/55.00 at the time of your purchase, is now at 75/80. Therefore, you could sell the 10 option contracts you had purchased at $55 each, for $75, and book a total profit of $200 (or 36%).
You can also put on a combination trade for lower risk/lower reward. Let’s consider the USD/JPY binary option to illustrate. Assume your view is that volatility in the yen – trading at 118.50 to the dollar – could increase significantly, and it could trade above 119.75 or decline below 117.25 by Friday. You, therefore, buy 10 binary option contracts (USD/JPY>119.75, trading at 29.50/35.50) and also sell 10 binary option contracts (USD/JPY>117.25, trading at 66.50/72.00). Therefore, you pay $35.50 to buy the USD/JPY>119.75 contracts, and $33.50 (i.e., $100 – $66.50) to sell the USD/JPY>117.25 contracts. Your total cost would be $690 ($355 + $335).
Three possible scenarios arise by option expiration at 3 P.M. on Friday:
- The yen is trading above 119.75. In this case, the USD/JPY>119.75 contract has a payout of $100, while the USD/JPY>117.25 contract expires worthless. Your total payout is $1,000, for a gain of $310 (or about 45%).
- The yen is trading below 117.25.In this case, the USD/JPY>117.25 contract has a payout of $100, while the USD/JPY>119.75 contract expires worthless. Your total payout is $1,000, for a gain of $310 (or about 45%).
- The yen is trading between 117.25 and 119.75: In this case, both contracts expire worthlessly and you lose the full $690 investment.
The Bottom Line
Binary options are a useful tool as part of a comprehensive forex trading strategy but have a couple of drawbacks in that the upside is limited even if the asset price spikes up, and a binary option is a derivative product with a finite lifespan (time to expiration).
However, binary options have a number of advantages that make them especially useful in the volatile world of forex. For starters, the risk is limited (even if the asset prices spikes up), the collateral required is quite low, and they can be used even in flat markets that are not volatile. These advantages make forex binary options worthy of consideration for the experienced currency trader.
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